Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.410370 11.535549 12.744374 14.141767 15.715277 17.435297 19.461875
2025-09-14 8.521342 10.030028 11.765103 13.916704 16.524999 19.599299 23.518929
2025-09-21 7.090944 8.782605 10.844081 13.560260 17.073156 21.501395 27.566583
2025-09-28 6.101256 7.899316 10.204446 13.409729 17.803989 23.693837 32.316005
2025-10-05 5.542123 7.471054 10.061618 13.848425 19.332197 27.124787 39.290907
2025-10-12 5.072832 7.089413 9.913103 14.232361 20.809991 30.679327 47.053495
2025-10-19 4.598319 6.632976 9.588901 14.297260 21.800173 33.630152 54.392017
2025-10-26 4.154705 6.163819 9.180094 14.162818 22.436907 36.090322 61.337859
2025-11-02 3.766488 5.731396 8.770466 13.960833 22.913476 38.326144 68.265446
2025-11-09 3.426998 5.336585 8.371558 13.716315 23.266153 40.372667 75.188967
2025-11-16 3.147172 5.007478 8.040392 13.538121 23.695820 42.596281 82.840707
2025-11-23 2.920668 4.742822 7.786324 13.457937 24.280662 45.176488 91.687138
2025-11-30 2.772135 4.600293 7.733724 13.748992 25.635527 49.529641 105.380991
2025-12-07 2.575455 4.356237 7.478882 13.633848 26.182826 52.343930 116.287241
2025-12-14 2.375389 4.088089 7.154435 13.346537 26.340903 54.363434 125.791105
2025-12-21 2.220349 3.887210 6.933542 13.235314 26.847849 57.224156 138.034724
2025-12-28 2.150700 3.837110 6.990255 13.690616 28.641516 63.319400 160.195881
2026-01-04 2.078328 3.774918 7.016538 14.084037 30.354300 69.534678 184.367442
2026-01-11 1.976473 3.646931 6.900272 14.156979 31.335833 74.126434 205.140878
2026-01-18 1.862852 3.486394 6.703454 14.029313 31.819508 77.531368 223.281945
2026-01-25 1.752367 3.323336 6.486941 13.832634 32.105882 80.467720 240.789921
2026-02-01 1.647194 3.162995 6.262334 13.592527 32.249748 83.044767 257.883494
2026-02-08 1.556267 3.025168 6.073997 13.417271 32.538340 86.090612 277.546175